Peter Drucker used to say that there are no risks, only opportunities. Scratch the former, you will find the latter.
While everybody speaks about Brexit as a risk, the consequences of Brexit, the implications of Brexit, etc., ad nauseum, Brexit is indeed a great opportunity.
More correctly, Brexit creates two types of opportunities:
First: substitution of UK exports to other countries;
Second: substitution of ours (each country’s) exports to the UK.
The former is a pure opportunity. The second changes a risk into an opportunity.
And the values of these opportunities are enormous, regardless of the size of the countries.
Take the case of two small European countries: Ireland and Portugal, for instance.
Only for three products (machinery, medical devices and trailers) that:
A – Ireland exports a lot;
B – Portugal imports a lot;
C – But Ireland exports very little to Portugal (and Portugal imports very little from Ireland);
the value of the opportunity is almost 14 billion euros (see table below).
Brexit as an opportunity was the topic of the conference of Professor Jorge Sá at an event organized by Enterprise Ireland (the state agency in charge of Irish exports).
The analysis, exemplified by the table above and many other products in Professor Sá conference, can naturally be done to any EU-27 country.
The end product is a list of 1) which companies, 2) in which countries, 3) to contact, 4) to sell which products, since they represent the greatest opportunities due to Brexit.